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Predictions — Live tracker & data

Topic: Predictions

Last updated · Capitol Whale research

  • Live predictions data updated intraday
  • SEC filings, exchange feeds, and on-chain sources
  • Cross-links to insider, Congress, and options flow
  • Free, no signup required for core view

What it is. Predictions: Predictions is a Capitol Whale market-data tracker covering predictions in real time. We aggregate SEC filings, exchange feeds, on-chain data, and Congressional disclosures to surface positioning, flow, and smart-money signals in one place.

How to read it. Read the top summary for the current state of predictions, then drill into the tables and charts for detail. Cross-links point to insider filings (Form 4), Congressional PTRs, dark-pool prints, and options flow so you can triangulate a signal quickly.

Why it matters. Predictions matters because retail traders now compete against algorithms and disclosed institutional flow. Tracking predictions on Capitol Whale gives you the same public-filing edge that professional desks build in-house — without the six-figure Bloomberg terminal.

What moves it. Predictions responds to broad market regime (risk-on vs risk-off), sector-specific catalysts, macro liquidity shifts, and the specific institutional flow this tracker captures. Cross-reference with the related trackers below for a fuller picture.

Common mistakes. Reading a single data point in isolation. Ignoring the base rate. Confusing correlation with causation. Failing to check the "last updated" timestamp before acting on stale numbers.

Frequently asked

What is Predictions?

Predictions is a live market tracker on Capitol Whale. It aggregates public data — filings, exchange feeds, and on-chain sources — into a single dashboard for predictions.

Is Predictions data free?

Yes. Core Capitol Whale trackers, including Predictions, are free to read. Premium features (alerts, exports, historical backfills, API access) are optional.

How often does Predictions update?

Market data updates intraday during US session hours. Filings-derived signals refresh as new SEC EDGAR, House Clerk, and Senate EFD disclosures publish.

Where does Predictions data come from?

Directly from primary sources — SEC EDGAR for filings, House Clerk and Senate EFD for Congressional disclosures, exchange feeds for market data, and public blockchains for on-chain metrics.

Can I export Predictions data?

CSV export is available on premium tiers. API access is available for enterprise users.

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Quotes 250ms·Filings 1m·News 30s·On-chain 12s·Report data issue